Tuesday 11 December 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary December 11th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9830-.9900

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2800-1.2870

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5870-1.5950

The US Dollar is marginally weaker as the Euro received a boost from a better than expected German investor confidence report. EURO.USD jumped to trade as high as 1.2990 on this report as it was the first time since May that investor confidence rose, not sure what German investors are seeing that would inspire them so much but we will see if this momentum can be carried forward.

One thing that investors may be looking at is further stimulus from the US Federal Reserve, the Fed begins its last meeting of the year today amid speculation that they may announce further stimulus for the American economy. such an announcement would push equities higher and drive the US Dollar lower.
The Canadian Dollar had a very narrow overnight trading range as it settles in after the strong employment report and the approval of the Nexen deal by Industry Canada on Friday gave it a boost, we may stay in this new range for a while now. We do have some US and Canadian trade data out this morning but for the most part the currency markets will settle down and await the announcement from the Fed tomorrow afternoon. I still favour caution for US Dollar buyers, any negative news will push USD.CAD back higher quickly and further strength for the Loonie will be slower to come by over a longer period of time.


Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9872 0.9876
CAD/USD 1.0128 1.0124
EUR/USD 1.2993 1.2909
EUR/CAD 1.2829 1.2751
STG/CAD 1.5889 1.5852
AUD/CAD 1.0359 1.0357
CAD/JPY 83.51 83.19
CAD/CHF 0.9437 0.9458
CAD/HKD 7.8285 7.8242
CAD/CNY 6.3288 6.3171
CAD/MXN 12.991
Commodities
Gold $1,713 $1,714
OIL $86.02 $86.47
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 6.50% 6.58%
1 Week 5.20% 5.21%
1 Month 5.10% 5.12%

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