Monday 17 December 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9850-.9920

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2970-1.3050

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5980-1.6050

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as the results of the Japanese election have moved the currency markets around a bit, both Euro and Sterling have hit new highs with EURO.USD topping out so far at 1.3150 and GBP.USD hitting a new high of 1.6205. In Japan the Liberal Democratic Party returned to power after a three year absence after the pledged to achieve economic growth of 3% and an inflation rate of 2%. To achieve this they will have to introduce massive stimulus into the economy so it will be very interesting to watch how they go about this and the effect it has on the global economy. One course of action for them will be to have policies to weaken the Yen so they can increase their export market. Look for USD.JPY and CAD.JPY to increase in value over the coming months.

The Canadian Dollar is a little weaker this morning as the Loonie has given up some gains on the back of the stronger US Dollar. GBP.CAD was the big mover overnight as it jumped to trade up at 1.6000 after we closed it at 1.5930 on Friday , that is the biggest range we have had for that currency pair in weeks. USD.CAD is still on the back burner at the moment but if Euro and Sterling both continue to trade stronger this week the USD.CAD should fall back towards the .9850 level , once again we are not expecting a big range for USD.CAD, I still favour US Dollar buyers putting on some forward contracts at current levels and US Dollar buyers need to  be ready if we see a pullback above .9900 today.

Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9871 0.9845
CAD/USD 1.0131 1.0155
EUR/USD 1.3151 1.3086
EUR/CAD 1.2983 1.2886
STG/CAD 1.5992 1.5877
AUD/CAD 1.0378 1.0363
CAD/JPY 84.82 85.05
CAD/CHF 0.9304 0.9377
CAD/HKD 7.8493 7.8659
CAD/CNY 6.3147 6.3424
CAD/MXN 12.9523 13.0206
Commodities
Gold $1,693 $1,698
OIL $86.65 $86.72
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 6.90% 5.80%
1 Week 5.15% 5.10%
1 Month 5.10% 5.05%

 
 

 

 

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