Tuesday 18 December 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary December 18th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9800-.9870

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2960-1.3030

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5940-1.6010

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning in very quiet FX markets, the market continue to monitor the US fiscal cliff talks where the Republicans have agreed a trillion dollars’ worth of tax increases if the President agrees a similar amount of spending cuts. In China the government is talking about a target growth rate of 7.5% for their economy next year (would that not be nice here in Canada) and in Japan the new government is pressuring the Bank of Japan to announce a new round of stimulus measures and to raise the inflation target to 3.5%. The Euro only had a 30 point range last night which has been the smallest trading range in weeks.

The Canadian Dollar is very quiet with a 15 point overnight trading range and with no major economic releases until Thursday we may see more of the same from the North American market, I would not expect USD.CAD to move much today. Equity markets are pointing higher to start the day so we may see USD.CAD move back towards the .9825 level but I would not expect much more strength than that. Given how quickly USD.CAD can move back higher on any negative news I would still look for US Dollar buyers to take on some forward contracts at current levels and US Dollar sellers need to be ready if we see any quick  pullbacks above .9875.


Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9846 0.9871
CAD/USD 1.0154 1.0131
EUR/USD 1.3178 1.3151
EUR/CAD 1.2977 1.2983
STG/CAD 1.5455 1.5992
AUD/CAD 1.0368 1.0378
CAD/JPY 85.13 84.82
CAD/CHF 0.9303 0.9304
CAD/HKD 7.8659 7.8493
CAD/CNY 6.3261 6.3147
CAD/MXN 12.9255 12.9523
Commodities
Gold $1,699 $1,693
OIL $87.71 $86.65
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 6.50% 6.90%
1 Week 5.12% 5.15%
1 Month 5.05% 5.10%

 

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