Monday 3 December 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary December 3rd, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9880-.9950

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3010-1.3075

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Sterling is 1.5900-15970

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning as better than expected Chinese manufacturing data and the unresolved budget negotiations in the US helped push equities higher and the US Dollar lower. In very quiet trading conditions EURO.USD rose to trade at 1.3040 but still trades in recent ranges as it looks for a breakout.

This week could be a very busy week as the new month brings lots of economic reports with it, we kick off with some manufacturing data out of the US today, followed later in the week by several Central Bank policy announcements (including the Bank of Canada tomorrow) and then we close out the week with the Canadian and US employment reports on Friday, hopefully these reports will get the market moving.

Nothing new to report on the Canadian Dollar front, one of our trading partners told us last week’s USD.CAD trading range was the smallest weekly trading range for the Loonie since 1991, hopefully the economic activity this week will get the Loonie moving in one direction or the other.

Up today we get the ISM manufacturing data and Construction Spending out of the US. I would expect that we will see more positive data out of the US, if the numbers are very strong then you will see equities jump higher and USD.CAD will move lower towards .9900.

Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.9925 0.9925
CAD/USD 1.0075 1.0075
EUR/USD 1.3028 1.3011
EUR/CAD 1.2933 1.2915
STG/CAD 1.5933 1.2929
AUD/CAD 1.0348 1.0349
CAD/JPY 82.76 83.26
CAD/CHF 0.9321 0.9324
CAD/HKD 7.7834 7.7874
CAD/CNY 6.2726 6.2705
CAD/MXN 13.0227 13.0132
Commodities
Gold $1,717 $1,732
OIL $88.98 $88.21
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 6.90% 5.00%
1 Week 5.20% 5.20%
1 Month 5.10% 5.10%

 
 

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