Wednesday 5 December 2012

GFX Morning FX Commentary December 5th, 2012

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is .9875-.9950

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.2940-1.3020

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5950-1.6020

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning as the Euro pushed higher in early overnight trading, in China the new government signaled that they would support further urbanization of the country and strengthen real estate controls to avoid a real estate bubble. The early strength in the Euro was cut short as the Euro-Zone October Retail Sales report came out showing a bigger decrease than expected, this was closely followed by a poor UK service industry growth report, European currencies in general were sold off in quick fashion after these reports.

The Canadian Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as it continues to trade in narrow overnight ranges, the Bank of Canada announcement yesterday came in pretty much as expected so did not have a lasting effect on the currency in overnight markets. Up today we do get some US manufacturing data but it most likely will be skewed by the effects of hurricane Sandy so I am not sure how closely watched the information will be.

For now it looks like USD.CAD wants to test the lower end of our .9900-.9950 trading range, a strong manufacturing number from the US may give equities the push that will drive USD.CAD below the .9900 level, if it does go below I would not expect a big dip and US Dollar buyers need to be ready with their orders to make sure they take advantage of the move.


Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 0.992 0.994
CAD/USD 1.008 1.006
EUR/USD 1.0386 1.308
EUR/CAD 1.2989 1.3003
STG/CAD 1.5984 1.6029
AUD/CAD 1.0386 1.041
CAD/JPY 82.81 82.45
CAD/CHF 0.9354 0.9325
CAD/HKD 7.7906 7.7756
CAD/CNY 6.2725 6.26
CAD/MXN 13.0523
Commodities
Gold $1,703 $1,709
OIL $88.58 $86.86
Option Volatility
Canada
O/N 6.20% 6.50%
1 Week 5.00% 5.00%
1 Month 4.80% 4.80%

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