Wednesday 1 May 2013

GFX Afternoon Update May,1,2013



Good Afternoon

USD.CAD has moved higher this morning recovering about half its losses from yesterday. The price of crude seemed to play an important part in today’s move as a big price drop in the barrel of oil (and all commodities) helped to push the Loonie lower. 


Market trading as been overly light this morning as the currency markets still await the US Federal Reserve announcement scheduled for 2:15 pm. Our expectation is still that  the rates will not change and there seems to be a consensus that there will be a continuation of quantitative easing to inject money into the market. This easing will help the US economy grow which is needed after the lower than expected GDP and Chicago Index numbers earlier this week.


As we expected this morning’s release of the ADP private employment report disappointed the market with only 119K new jobs have being created, the numbers out of the US continue to disappoint.


The Euro has strengthened today continuing to increase in value even after speculation that the ECB will make a rate cut at their meeting tomorrow,  this should have made traders cautious when trading this currency but this does not seem to be the case, the value of the Euro has been going up all day reaching highs earlier this morning. There are a few reasons for this movement even ahead of the ECB meetings, the Cypriot parliament passing the bailout package and the Italians forming a new government may be giving currency traders some comfort that there is room for the Euro to strengthen.


Yonah

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