Tuesday 28 May 2013

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0300-1.0360

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3350-1.3425

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5600-1.5660

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning in quiet overnight markets. The Euro jumped to trade at a high of 1.2950 as there were reports that Spain will be given until 2016 to get their budget deficit in line with EUR rules of 3% of GDP, most Euro watchers were paying attention to the EU foreign ministers agreeing to lift the ban on providing weapons to the Syrian opposition, of course Russia came out swinging against this decision so look for that country to start supplying even more weapons to the Assad regime, peace does not look optimistic in the near future.  The biggest  moving currency  overnight was the Yen which weakened once again against the Greenback as Japanese officials stated that there is more room to provide stimulus if needed, Overall a very quiet night for most currency traders.

The Canadian Dollar had a very quiet night as USD.CAD hangs in above the 1.0300 level. The Loonie is much weaker than where I left it before going to Spain a move which was very quick and violent based on the overall stronger US dollar. I think we will sit at these levels for a while now providing that we do not get any surprises from Mark Carney’s final interest rate announcement tomorrow but US Dollar buyers need to be concerned that a further jump in the US Dollar across the board could easily move USD.CAD up towards 1.0400.

Up today we get the release of the US Consumer Confidence report for February, I will be looking to see how the recent spate of poor economic reports is affecting the consumer in the US, a very poor number could hit equity markets hard and bring some added volatility to the currency markets.

Thanks to everyone who welcomed me back yesterday, we had a great trip to Spain with a quick stop in Gibraltar which was interesting to see. We were down in a town called Sotogrande which is an hour south of Malaga near the Gibraltar border and it is a region that is primarily a tourist area with lots of golf courses and hotels. My first impression was that there was very little new construction going on and quite a few projects that had been abandoned during construction, when we were back in Spain 4 years ago I think in one town alone I remember see some 30 construction cranes, I think I saw two on the whole trip this year. An area such as this would thrive on new housing developments targeted at foreigners and I really did not see a any of that going on, a few billboards here and there but no real activity, it certainly looks like the English and Germans are not travelling as much as they did. It may have been because it was off season in Sotogrande but the hotels seemed very quiet and the golf courses were quite empty, hopefully the summer season will be better for them. If anyone would like any information on the region just drop me an email and I will be glad to help, we had a great time and I think will head back there in the future.

We did a quick tour of Gibraltar and found out that after the border being closed for quite a few years back in the 70’s and 80’s some 10,000 Spaniards now make the trip to Gibraltar every day for work, from what I could see it is pretty much an open border with very little passport control, the two economies are very intertwined. As a financial center I should explore opening GFX Gibraltar and see what opportunities lie there, It looked like a great place to live!!

Have a great day
Mike


GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0336 1.0322
CAD/USD 0.9671 0.9688
EUR/USD 1.2928 1.2945
EUR/CAD 1.3365 1.3365
STG/CAD 1.5617 1.5623
AUD/CAD 1.0005 0.996
CAD/JPY 98.64 97.64
CAD/CHF 0.9362 0.9317
CAD/HKD 7.4892 7.4986
CAD/CNY 5.9265 5.9273
CAD/MXN 12.0646 12.4848
Commodities
Gold $1,379.00 $1,392.00
OIL $94.71 $93.57
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 83.74 83.7
OPEN 83.85 83.6
 

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