Friday 10 May 2013

GFX Morning Commentary May 10th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0040-1.0175

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3070-1.3170

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5500-1.5600

The US dollar is stronger to start the day as the overnight currency markets were dominated by Japanese Yen trading, once again the Yen is trading muck weaker as the polices of that country to weaken their currency continue to have the desired effect. USD.JPY broke above 100.00 for the first time in over 4 years and it now looks like it wants to go higher possibly towards 105.00. Look for this currency to continue to pull the US Dollar higher across the board.

In Europe, the Euro and Sterling are both trading weaker with EURO.USD down below 1.3000 and GBP.USD trading below 1.5400, this all on the back of the strong US Dollar overnight.

The Canadian Dollar is weaker to start the day on the strong US Dollar and speculative positions were squared up ahead of the employment report this morning. We are expecting 15k new jobs to have been created last month with no change to the employment report at 7.2%, after last month’s dismal report any gain will certainly look good. Given that the economists can't get their predictions right if we see a strong number then USD.CAD will fall towards parity and if it is weak then we push back above the 1.0200 level. I am expecting lots of volatility today so make sure your orders are in, when you consider how far the Aussie and New Zealand dollars have fallen over the past few weeks the Canadian Dollar is actually doing quite well but if the employment number is very bad the Loonie might play catch up with these other currencies.

Have a great weekend
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates





 






Currencies
7:00am Today's Opening

Yesterday's Opening









USD/CAD

1.0069


1.002


CAD/USD

0.9931


0.998


EUR/USD

1.3002


1.3153


EUR/CAD

1.3095


1.3182


STG/CAD

1.5503


1.5605


AUD/CAD

1.0101


1.0252


CAD/JPY

100.67


98.47


CAD/CHF

0.9487


0.9322


CAD/HKD

7.6849


7.7271


CAD/CNY

6.0959


6.1156


CAD/MXN

11.9579


11.9455


Commodities















Gold

$1,443.00


$1,469.00


OIL

$95.73


$96.28










US DOLLAR INDEX







P.CLOSE

82.78


81.98


OPEN

83.11


81.96


 


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