Monday 6 May 2013

GFX Morning FX Commentary May 6th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0040-1.0125

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.3200-1.3280

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.5670-1.5750

The US Dollar was marginally stronger in quiet overnight currency trading markets, with the UK being closed for the Spring Bank holiday equity and currency trading was very light.  In Europe it was reported that the French Prime Minister Moscovici declared the “era of austerity over”, this is from a  Socialist government that failed to hit its 2012 budget deficit targets and did achieve a budget deficit of 3% of GFX this year, with this kind of leadership Europe is so screwed.

On the geopolitical front, something to keep an eye on is the second attack by Israel on Syria in the past two weeks. If Israel is drawn into a wider conflict with Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas then we could see financial markets get nervous about other countries getting involved at some point. I don’t think anything will happen in the short-term but with Iran calling a lot of the shots in the region you never know.

The Canadian Dollar traded in a very tight overnight range as it was ignored by global currency traders throughout the night, it is basically right where we have left it on Friday. I am not sure anything much will happen today, the market does not get any significant economic releases until Friday’s Canadian  employment report so I am not sure that we will have any real volatility this week. I would expect that we should continue to trade back and forth around 1.0100 in quiet markets for most of the week, if we see the Euro continue to get stronger then we should see USD.CAD try and break back towards par towards.

Have a great week
Mike


GFX Morning Currency Rates





 






Currencies
7:00am Today's Opening

Yesterday's Opening









USD/CAD

1.0083


1.0108


CAD/USD

0.9917


0.9893


EUR/USD

1.3105


1.322


EUR/CAD

1.3216


1.3267


STG/CAD

1.5693


1.5732


AUD/CAD

1.0341


1.0377


CAD/JPY

98.37


96.96


CAD/CHF

0.9291


0.9217


CAD/HKD

7.674


7.6541


CAD/CNY

6.1128


6.0882


CAD/MXN

11.991


12.0523


Commodities















Gold

$1,474.00


$1,481.00


OIL

$96.12


$94.53










US DOLLAR INDEX







P.CLOSE

82.16


82.28


OPEN

82.26


82.07



 

 

 

 

 

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