Thursday 7 November 2013

Afternoon Commentary 07 Nov 2013


Good afternoon,

Below are the current daily levels vs. the other major currencies.

USD.CAD 1.0449 up 0.30%

GBP.CAD 1.6782 up 0.29%

EUR.CAD 1.3984 down 0.67%

The ECB has removed any chance of a EURO rally today after they slashed interest rates to 0.25% and caught the market off guard. After the announcement was made, we saw the EUR/USD drop to test the 1.3300 level, such drops are rarely sustainable and the rate has been steadily rising all morning to where we presently trade at 1.3400.  The Canadian dollar enjoyed gains of 1%  against the Euro in the immediate aftermath of the rate cut but like the EURO.USD currency pair the Loonie is quickly giving back those gains .

According to ECB President Draghi, there are no signs of deflation in the economy and the goal of today’s move was to shorten the period of low inflation.  This is good opportunity for EURO buyers to make purchases with this sudden drop. 

We have seen very little volatility with USD/CAD.  That is likely to change with the employment numbers due out tomorrow.  Estimates indicate that 13,000 jobs will be added to the Canadian economy, this figure is notoriously difficult to predict and if the figure comes in higher or lower than expected, we could see big movement in the USD/CAD, make sure you get your orders in ahead of time, you don’t want extreme volatility affecting your position.

The overnight expected range for the Canadian dollar against the USD dollar 1.0403-1.0483

The overnight expected range for the Canadian dollar against the Euro is 1.3944-1.4033

The overnight expected range for the Canadian dollar against Sterling  is 1.6730-1.6830

Enjoy your afternoon,

Barbara

Barbara Friedman  | GFX Partners Inc |Currency Advisor

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