Monday 25 November 2013

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0525-1.0580

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4250-1.4330

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7060-1.7130

The US Dollar is higher this morning as the world's currency markets react to the announcement of a deal on Iran's nuclear ambitions. The Euro is also lower on ECB official comments that they stand ready to reduce interest rates again if necessary, I am not sure just how much the ECB can cut further as most economists will debate how negative interest rates will affect the economy. The Pound is also weaker this morning on poor housing data,  USD.JPY had a big move last night as it almost reached 1.0200, the Yen continues to trade weaker thus helping that countries export economy.

The Canadian Dollar is again weaker this morning as USD.CAD continues to march higher, in the short-term I think it will consolidate around the 1.0550 level  before pushing higher, I would not be surprised if we hit 1.0600 later this week.

With little economic data today I am not expecting any big moves for USD.CAD, it would be nice to see a bit of a pullback towards 1.0500 to give US Dollar buyers a chance to get some at better levels but ultimately I think we will test the yearly high up at 1.0600 at some point this week.

Just a personal note on the Iran deal, as a student of history while I certainly hope this is a strong deal I am reminded of British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlin returning from Germany waving a signed letter by Hitler and proclaiming that he has "achieved peace in our time", we all know how that worked out. Also commiserations to all my fellow Tiger-Cat fans, with a new stadium next year 2014 will be our year.

Have a great week
Mike

 
GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0551 1.0556
CAD/USD 1.3527 0.9473
EUR/USD 1.3522 1.3516
EUR/CAD 1.427 1.427
STG/CAD 1.7093 1.716
AUD/CAD 0.967 96.8
CAD/JPY 96.43 95.89
CAD/CHF 0.8623 0.8622
CAD/HKD 7.3407 7.3389
CAD/CNY 5.7723 5.77
CAD/MXN 12.2972 12.4025
Commodities
Gold $1,231.00 $1,241.00
OIL $93.65 $95.16
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 80.69
OPEN 80.9
US 10YR YIELD 2.75% 2.74%

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