Wednesday 27 November 2013

GFX Partners Evening Commentary 27 Nov 13


Good afternoon,

Below are the current daily levels vs. the other major currencies.
USD.CAD 1.0595 up .51%
GBP.CAD 1.7230 up .79%

EUR.CAD 1.4373 up 0.46%

This morning saw the currencies react to the generous amount of economic data released before the American Thanksgiving holiday.

The Chicago purchasing managers index declined to 63 this month from 65.9 in October.  Even though the business activity edged down, it still beat expectations.  The data helped the US jump against the Yen 0.83%, its highest level since late May.

Data showed durable-goods orders declined 2% in October, compared to expectations of a 2.2% decline. The drop was largely due to fewer contracts for jumbo jets

Consumer sentiment rose in November to a final reading of 75.1 from 73.2 last month. The weekly U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly dropped by 10,000 to 316,000.  Many economists had predicted that the claims would rise to 330,000.

The Minutes from the Fed’s monetary-policy last week suggested the central bank may pull back on asset purchases at one of its upcoming meetings. The Fed has said improvement in the labor market is a key factor in its policy assessment.

The Canadian Dollar touched the weakest level against the US since July 5, as the price of crude oil declined for a fourth day to $92.04.  We saw the US rise 0.51% against the CAD.

On Friday, Canada’s GDP number will be released.

The overnight expected range for the Canadian dollar against the USD dollar 1.0540-1.0640

The overnight expected range for the Canadian dollar against the Euro is 1.4320-1.4420

The overnight expected range for the Canadian dollar against Sterling  is  1.7180-1.7280

Have a great afternoon.

Barbara

Barbara Friedman  | GFX Partners Inc |Currency Advisor

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