Tuesday 19 August 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0885-1.0930

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4550-1.4600

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8140-1.8190

The US Dollar is‎ marginally stronger this morning as the Greenback was led higher by a weaker Sterling. In the UK the July  inflation report came in lower than expected and once again raised fears that deflation was becoming a bigger concern. On Sunday you had the BOE Governor hinting at higher rates and then you get a reading like this that will put a cap on any interest rate hike, you just wish that government officials would get there story straight. Markets will continue to sell Sterling in the short-term until the Bank of England can give a clear signal on what it wants to do.

USD.CAD continues to sit on the sidelines as it trades in very narrow ranges, and barring any economic surprises South of the border will most likely remain in tight ranges for the next few days. The Loonie has been able to make some gains against Sterling with the weakness in that currency, if it holds its own against the US the Loonie should be able to extend those gains in the coming days. The Loonie is also stronger against the Euro but it is not moving as much as it is against the Pound.

Up today we have the release of the US CPI report for July with the expectation for a year-over-year inflation rate of 2.0% which would be down slightly over the June report of 2.1%. If we get a report that comes in below expectation then look for USD.CAD to drop significantly.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0903 1.0884
CAD/USD 0.9172 0.9188
EUR/USD 1.3347 1.3384
EUR/CAD 1.4554 1.457
STG/CAD 1.8151 1.8204
AUD/CAD 1.0181 1.0145
CAD/JPY 94.11 94.11
CAD/CHF 0.8314 0.8307
CAD/HKD 7.0871 7.0995
CAD/CNY 5.632 5.6442
CAD/MXN 11.9713 13.0853
Commodities
Gold $1,301.00 $1,302.00
OIL $96.68 $96.37
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 81.57 81.49
OPEN 81.67 81.46
US 10YR YIELD 2.37% 2.36%

 

 

 

 

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