Friday 29 August 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0820-1.0870

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4290-1.4340

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7990-1.8040

The US Dollar is unchanged for the most part this morning as it is marginally stronger against the Euro and marginally weaker against Sterling. In the UK the Pound rose to trade at 1.3190 as the UK Consumer Confidence report showed a positive gain while in the Euro-Zone the inflation report showed a declining rate of inflation which should give ECB Governor Draghi room to announce stimulus measures at next week's ECB meeting. The Euro still looks very vulnerable ‎at the moment and we could still yet see it hit the target of 1.3000 in the near future against the US Dollar.

The Canadian Dollar has settled into its new level, I would think that Burger King would be finished with their activity so any movement in the market will again focus on fundamentals. The Loonie had quite a run this week so it would not surprise me to see a bit of a pullback but so far that has not materialized.

Up today trading will be dominated by the Canadian GDP report for 2nd quarter,  we are expecting a growth rate of 3.0%, last quarter the growth rate was 2.3% so at least we are moving in the right direction. In addition to the Canadian GDP we have a slew of US secondary data including Personal Income and Consumer Sentiment, I think we will have a very busy morning.

It is hard to believe that summer is coming to a close, thanks again for all the support this summer and have a great Labour day weekend.

Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0843 1.0862
CAD/USD 0.9206
EUR/USD 13,183 1.3173
EUR/CAD 1.4297 1.4317
STG/CAD 1.7992 1.8015
AUD/CAD 1.0128 0.984
CAD/JPY 95.86 95.46
CAD/CHF 0.8432 0.8422
CAD/HKD 7.1268 7.7301
CAD/CNY 5.6648 5.6573
CAD/MXN 12.0633 12.0555
Commodities
Gold $1,285.80 $1,294.50
OIL $94.95 $93.85
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 82.52 82.69
OPEN 82.51 82.51
US 10YR YIELD 2.34% 2.33%
 




 

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