Thursday 25 September 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1080-1.1150

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4130-1.4200

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8110-1.8180

The US Dollar is stronger this morning reaching its highest level against the Euro since November of 2012 as currency traders still are still betting that the US Federal Reserve will increase interest rates next year while the Euro-Zone is still being forced to cut rates and add stimulus. The markets are also reacting to strong US economic data, yesterday we were expecting US New home Sales to have jumped 4.4% in fact they jumped 18% so clearly the US recovery is really picking up steam. The biggest currency mover overnight was the New Zealand Dollar which dropped to a new yearly low as that Central Bank indicated then may intervene in the currency markets, the Kiwi Dollar has fallen over 4% this month alone against the US so it is clearly getting hammered at the moment.

With the stronger US Dollar overnight the Loonie gave back all its gains from yesterday afternoon and USD.CAD is back higher this morning looking to make a clear break of the 1.1100 level, there is nothing that I can see on the horizon that would indicate any prolonged Canadian Dollar strength so US Dollar buyers need to try and protect themselves on any potential pullbacks.

Up today we have the release of the US Durable Goods report and that number can be quite volatile so we are looking for continued movement in USD.CAD.  As the afternoon goes on currency traders will get set up for the release of tomorrow’s US 2nd Quarter GDP report which is expected to confirm accelerated growth in the US.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1112 1.107
CAD/USD 0.8999 0.9033
EUR/USD 1.2722 1.2844
EUR/CAD 1.4134 1.4221
STG/CAD 1.8116 1.8166
AUD/CAD 0.9743 0.9831
CAD/JPY 98.26 98.07
CAD/CHF 85.4 0.8488
CAD/HKD 6.9561 6.9807
CAD/CNY 5.5204 5.5398
CAD/MXN 12.006 11.995
Commodities
Gold $1,210.00 $1,223.00
OIL $92.82 $91.40
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 85.04 84.65
OPEN 85.4 84.67
US 10YR YIELD 2.55% 2.54%

 

 

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