Friday 26 September 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1075-1.1150

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4140-1.4220

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is  1.8100-1.8180

The US Dollar is for the most part unchanged this morning as the currency markets get set for this morning's US report on the economy, the US Dollar will close out the week making its 11th straight week of gains against the broader market, there is no denying the strength of the US Dollar at the moment. The Greenback did hit a 6-year high against the Japanese Yen as expectations of more economic stimulus in Japan keep pushing the Yen lower.

USD.CAD did push higher throughout the night but the Loonie recovered back to where we closed last night, the currency pair should remain quiet ahead of this morning’s GDP report but after that it could get quite volatile again.

Up today as mentioned we have the release of the 2nd Quarter US GDP report alongside some secondary data including US Consumer Sentiment. For the GDP report we are expecting a growth rate of 4.6% on an annualized basis (last was 4.2%) which is in line with other strong reports coming out of the US. A very strong report should give USD.CAD the impetus to get a decisive break above the 1.1100 level, a poor report will push USD.CAD back lower and continue recent range trading. Given the strong data out of the US lately we favour the report being a strong one.

Have a great weekend
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1094 1.1112
CAD/USD 0.9014 0.8999
EUR/USD 1.2743 1.2722
EUR/CAD 1.414 1.4134
STG/CAD 1.8109 1.8116
AUD/CAD 0.9759 0.9743
CAD/JPY 98.22 98.26
CAD/CHF 0.8543 0.854
CAD/HKD 6.9705 6.9561
CAD/CNY 5.5227 5.5204
CAD/MXN 12.0677 12.006
Commodities
Gold $1,224.00 $1,210.00
OIL $92.97 $92.82
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 85.21 85.04
OPEN 85.23 85.4
US 10YR YIELD 2.50% 2.55%

 

 

 
 

 

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