Wednesday 3 September 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0870-1.0970

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4320-1.4420

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7930-1.8030

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning as he Euro has jumped a little on the News that Russian President Putin and Ukrainian  ‎President Poroshenko have agreed to a cease fire. I am not quite sure how Putin can agree to a ceasefire given that Russia is not involved in the crisis but there you have it. Both the Euro and Sterling should hold their current value as the market awaits the announcements from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England tomorrow. Of the two currencies Sterling may be the most active as there is an outside chance that the BOE could increase interest rates.

The Canadian Dollar recovered a little of its strength last night, USD.CAD moved steadily higher through the day yesterday but with the weaker US Dollar overnight the Loonie was able to pull back a little bit.

Trading today will be dominated by the Bank of Canada interest rate announcement at 10:00 am. With a zero chance of an interest rate hike currency traders will be looking to the Bank's statement on the economy. I have no expectation one way or the other, I think this will be a neutral statement but if it is overly negative USD.CAD will jump higher and just the opposite if the statement is overly positive on the economy. I will as always send out a currency alert after the announcement.

In addition to the BOC we have the some secondary data out of the US including the Institute of Supply management Business survey and the Federal Reserve beige Book which is a summary of the recent events in the US economy, we should be in for a very busy day.

Have a great day.
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.09 1.0914
CAD/USD 0.9174 0.9162
EUR/USD 1.3149 1.3114
EUR/CAD 1.4336 1.4314
STG/CAD 1.7969 1.8045
AUD/CAD 1.0169 1.0135
CAD/JPY 96.34 96.11
CAD/CHF 0.842 0.843
CAD/HKD 7.0871 7.0799
CAD/CNY 5.6343 5.9071
CAD/MXN 12.0043 12.0234
Commodities
Gold $1,269.00 $1,271.00
OIL $93.69 $95.16
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 82.97 82.74
OPEN 82.87 82.96
US 10YR YIELD 2.46% 2.38%

 

 

 

 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment