Thursday 11 September 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0970-1.1040

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4220-1.4290

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7890-1.7970

The US Dollar is mixed this morning as it is stronger against the Loonie and Yen , and weaker against the Euro and Sterling. In the UK the Pound is much higher as yesterday afternoon a poll was released that showed the No side moving back in front, this morning saw the Royal Bank of Scotland and other financial institutions say they would move their head offices to London if the yes side won, this vote will get much nastier as long as the Yes side stays close to get a winning vote. In Other news the New Zealand Dollar fell dramatically and dragged down other commodity currencies as the NZ Central Bank kept interest rates at current levels and made the comment that the New Zealand dollar level was "unjustified and unsustainable", a very dramatic comment if you want to weaken your currency.

After spending the day garnering strength yesterday the Loonie was smashed last night as USD.CAD almost jumped 3/4 of a full point overnight. Given the movement in the other currencies I am not sure why USD.CAD should jump so fast, but I think the New Zealand announcement weighed on it and also the Obama announcement of sustained attacks on ISIS may have created a degree of uncertainty in the North American markets. The Loonie also lost a little ground to the Euro but lost a lot of ground to Sterling on the back of the poll results.

Nothing on the economic calendar today so I look for the Loonie to remain under pressure, with this increased volatility, today could be the day that we see a sustained break higher for USD.CAD.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1 1.0974
CAD/USD 0.9091 0.9112
EUR/USD 1.2919 1.2949
EUR/CAD 1.4213 1.4212
STG/CAD 1.7873 1.77
AUD/CAD 1.0031 1.0035
CAD/JPY 97.36 97.1
CAD/CHF 0.8511 0.8494
CAD/HKD 7.0651 7.04
CAD/CNY 5.5728 5.5827
CAD/MXN 12.0163 12.0325
Commodities
Gold $1,242.00 $1,255.00
OIL $90.54 $92.86
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 84.23 84.08
OPEN 84.27 84.11
US 10YR YIELD 2.53% 2.52%

 

 

 

 

 

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