Monday 8 September 2014

GFX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0880-1.0940

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4100-1.4170

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7600-1.7670   


The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as it was led higher by a weaker Sterling. In the UK the latest opinion poll has the Scottish Independence movement ‎ahead with a projected 51% of the vote. In Asia, GBP.USD opened 100 points lower than the Friday North American close so clearly currency markets are very concerned about the uncertainty that this vote is creating, this poll has pushed the Cameron Government into action by offering the idea of more financial independence if Scotland rejects the vote. You can bet the Parti-Quebecois will be watching this result closely, if Scotland at the very least gets more financial autonomy then you can bet this will be a strategy used by the PQ in the next Quebec provincial election.

The Canadian Dollar is a little weaker against the US Dollar as it traded in tight range overnight, it continues to garner strength against ‎the Euro and Sterling as weakness in both those currencies have helped the Loonie. Friday's poor Canadian jobs report did nothing to help the Loonie, clearly the employment market in Canada is stagnant (one month up, one month down) which I believe will lead to interest rates reaming low in Canada well after the US Federal Reserve starts to hike rates next year.

It is a light week for economic statistic highlighted by the US Retail Sales report on Friday, I look for USD.CAD to range trade for most of the week but overall US Dollar buyers still need to protect themselves against a possible move higher for USD.CAD.

Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0904 1.0878
CAD/USD 0.917 0.9193
EUR/USD 1.2947 1.2959
EUR/CAD 1.4116 1.41
STG/CAD 1.7573 1.775
AUD/CAD 1.019 1.0191
CAD/JPY 96.44 96.04
CAD/CHF 0.8543 0.8552
CAD/HKD 7.088 7.1029
CAD/CNY 5.6291
CAD/MXN 11.9795 12.0889
Commodities
Gold $1,268.00 $1,266.00
OIL $92.62 $94.73
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 83.85 83.76
OPEN 83.93 83.74
US 10YR YIELD 2.43% 2.45%

 

 


 

 

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