Thursday 30 October 2014

GFX FX Morning Commentary

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1160-1.1230

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4070-1.4230

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7900-1.7970

The US Dollar is mixed this morning in very quiet overnight trading conditions, It is  a little weaker against Sterling and a bit stronger against the Euro and Yen. After jumping higher yesterday after what is being perceived as an overly cautious statement by the Federal reserve the US Dollar took a bit of a pause last night as the currency markets now await the US GDP report this morning to confirm that maybe investors expecting an increase in interest rates in the first quarter of 2015 were a bit premature in their thinking. The Euro is still under pressure as the inflation rate is expected to come in under the levels that the ECB was expecting, continued deflation seems to be a real problem for the Euro-Zone economy.

The Canadian Dollar is unchanged this morning but that is after it weakened off considerably on the US Federal Reserve announcement. Once again any underlying strength that the Loonie picks up is quickly diminished by one factor or another and the strong US Dollar trend. I still favour a weaker Canadian Dollar and any US Dollar buyers need to have their orders in to pick up some us on any short-term Canadian Dollar strength.

As mentioned today trading will be dominated by the US 3rd Quarter GDP report, we are expecting a growth rate of 3.1% on an annualized basis, that would be down from the previous reading 4.6% so a significant  drop. If the US gets a strong number above expectation then we should see USD.CAD jump higher and we could retest the 1.1300 levels.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1193 1.116
CAD/USD 0.8934 0.8961
EUR/USD 1.2591 1.2733
EUR/CAD 1.4098 1.421
STG/CAD 1.7913 1.7987
AUD/CAD 0.9841 0.9906
CAD/JPY 97.31 96.84
CAD/CHF 0.8598 0.8482
CAD/HKD 6.9092 6.9281
CAD/CNY 5.4606 5.4737
CAD/MXN 12.065 12.069
Commodities
Gold $1,205.00 $1,228.00
OIL $81.34 $82.21
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 86.01 85.39
OPEN 85.25 85.41
US 10YR YIELD 2.31% 2.29%

 

 

 

 
 

 

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