Friday 3 October 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1150-1.1220

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4100-1.4170

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7980-1.8050

The US Dollar is stronger this morning as both Euro and Sterling are well off their highs from yesterday, the Dollar is picking up steam on the back of expectation that the US economy will have created some 215K new jobs last night month. The expectation is that a very strong labour market will lead the Federal Reserve to increase interest rates in the first quarter of 2015 which will continue to push the Greenback higher. Trading was a little light last night as a number of financial centers were on holiday, this factor may add some volatility around the release of the jobs report this morning.

The rally that was the Canadian Dollar on Wednesday night is now gone and USD.CAD is right back where it was before the big drop in USD.CAD, the trend for currency pair to move higher is still intact. Last night saw USD.CAD slowly move higher in a narrow range in reaction to the overall strong US Dollar, if we get a very strong US Jobs report today look for the inter-bank rate to jump back above 1.12000, a negative report will help push the rate back lower.

In addition to the US jobs report out this morning we have more manufacturing data out of the US and we have some Canadian Trade data, the Canadian jobs report will be due out next Friday. Either way I think we will have a volatile morning and then the market will stabilize as the week winds down.

Have a great weekend
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates

Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1178 1.1121
CAD/USD 0.8946 0.8992
EUR/USD 1.2616 1.2636
EUR/CAD 1.4105 1.4055
STG/CAD 1.7966 1.7955
AUD/CAD 0.9778 0.9761
CAD/JPY 97.44 97.63
CAD/CHF 0.8568 0.8593
CAD/HKD 6.9197 6.9602
CAD/CNY 5.485 5.5181
CAD/MXN 12.0138 12.0877
Commodities
Gold $1,207.00 $1,214.00
OIL $90.79 $88.71
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 85.65 85.92
OPEN 85.98 85.79
US 10YR YIELD 2.44% 2.40%

 

 


 

 

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