Monday 6 October 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1190-1.1250

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4090-1.4150

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.7930-1.7990

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning in spite of a poor German Factory report that showed orders fell the most last month since 2009. It looks like currency traders woke up on Monday morning and decided that the US Dollar strength may have been a bit too much too soon and pushed it back a little. I still think the strong US Dollar trend is still intact as we saw after the very strong US employment report on Friday but we may see a period of range trading at the moment to give the markets time to consolidate  before the next move.

The Canadian Dollar was able to pull back a little bit on the weaker US Dollar overnight but it is still trading near its recent highs and most market pundits are still calling for USD.CAD to be higher by the end of the year.

Activity this week will be highlighted by the Canadian Employment report for September on Friday but ahead of that we have the minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday,  US Wholesale Trade and the Bank of England Policy announcement on Thursday and the Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey on Friday after the Employment report. Not an overly busy week when it comes to releases but it will be highlighted by the Employment report.

Up today there is only the  Canadian Ivey Purchasing Managers Index on the North American calendar so we will most likely range trade ahead of that release,  it looks like the Loonie will do a little better to start the week so US Dollar buyers need to be ready with orders close to the market to take advantage of any pullback.

Have a great week
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1215 1.1178
CAD/USD 0.8916 0.8946
EUR/USD 1.2551 1.2616
EUR/CAD 1.4079 1.4105
STG/CAD 1.7928 1.7966
AUD/CAD 0.9794 0.9778
CAD/JPY 97.46 97.44
CAD/CHF 0.8604 0.8568
CAD/HKD 6.8948 6.9197
CAD/CNY 5.4689 5.485
CAD/MXN 11.9585 12.0138
Commodities
Gold $1,195.00 $1,207.00
OIL $90.28 $90.79
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 86.8 85.65
OPEN 86.38 85.98
US 10YR YIELD 2.43% 2.44%

 

 

 

 

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