Wednesday 22 October 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary


Good Morning,

 

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the US is 1.1200 – 1.1260

Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against the Euro is 1.4220 – 1.4300

 Today’s suggested range for the Canadian dollar against Sterling is 1.7990 – 1.8090

 

The US dollar is mostly firmer due to the weakness in the European single currency. The Euro is under pressure for a second consecutive day as the market is bracing for more stimulus in the form of additional quantitative easing. The other development making the Euro uneasy is rumours that as many as 11 Eurozone banks are set to fail the ECB’s stress tests.

 

The British pound is also weaker as the latest minutes from the Bank of England showed increased risks to the economy brought on by the slumping Eurozone. The reference made by the BOE reduces any possibility of a short term rate hike.

 

The Canadian dollar is holding onto to its short term gains ahead of the Bank of Canada monetary policy statement  today. The central bank is expected to hold  its interest rate at 1% which it has remained at for the past four years. The BOC is likely seen to continue sending a cautious message on the economy given the global slowdown and the impact on exports.

 

The economic releases ahead of the BOC announcement at 10:00am this morning is U.S. consumer price index for September with expectations for a rise of 1.6% y/y down from the previous month of 1.7%. Also due out this morning is CAD retail sales for August last down 0.1% with expectations for a 0.2% gain. The Dow futures are flat with oil edging higher and gold slightly lower on a stronger greenback.

 

Have a great day!

 

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Wednesday October 22, 2014
Currencies
7:00am Today's Opening
Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD
1.1238
1.1253
CAD/USD
0.8898
0.8886
EUR/USD
1.2694
1.2762
EUR/CAD
1.4267
1.4362
STG/CAD
1.804
1.8171
AUD/CAD
0.9875
0.9906
CAD/JPY
95.18
94.91
CAD/CHF
0.8451
0.84
CAD/HKD
6.8815
6.8705
CAD/CNY
5.4417
5.4393
CAD/MXN
12.0744
12.041
Commodities
Gold
$1,246.00
$1,248.00
OIL
$82.71
$83.19
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE
85.33
84.97
OPEN
85.54
85.14
US 10YR YIELD
2.19%
2.20%

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