Wednesday 1 October 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1180-1.1250

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4120-1.4180

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.8140-18200

The US Dollar is again stronger this morning as it continues its record breaking assent. The Greenback rose to 110.00 against the Yen (the first time since August of 2008), the Aussie Dollar continued to drop as Retail Sales was weaker than expected and in Europe the Euro was lower on poorer than expected manufacturing data. Today we are expecting the US ADP employment report where it is expected that private payrolls added another 200K jobs to the economy last month, that would be the 6th month in a row this increase has happened, I am not sure much of anything can derail the US Dollar rise at the moment.

The Canadian Dollar continues to weaken off against the US Dollar, not only is the US Dollar overall strength driving USD.CAD higher but yesterday's flat Canadian GDP reading shows our economy is doing nothing while the US economy is roaring ahead. At some point the weak Loonie will help push the economy forward but that is a trickledown effect and will take several months to unfold. For now we may see some trading back and forth but there is every reason to think that USD.CAD will move higher in the short-term.

In addition to the ADP Employment report today we also get the US ISM Manufacturing data for August so I think we will continue to see strong data coming out of the US pushing the Greenback higher. I think we do need a bit of a pullback to give the market a breather but if the data is very strong then we could see USD.CAD move past the 1.1250 level today.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.121 1.117
CAD/USD 0.892 0.8951
EUR/USD 1.2596 1.2594
EUR/CAD 1.4123 1.4071
STG/CAD 1.816 1.8087
AUD/CAD 0.9753 0.9751
CAD/JPY 97.94 98.11
CAD/CHF 0.8546 0.8571
CAD/HKD 6.9035 6.9311
CAD/CNY 5.4735 6.4924
CAD/MXN 12.0061 12.1003
Commodities
Gold $1,209.00 $1,209.00
OIL $94.90 $94.66
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 85.93 85.6
OPEN 86.1 86.02
US 10YR YIELD 2.48% 2.51%

 

 

 

 

 

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