Tuesday 7 October 2014

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.1140-1.1200

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4070-1.4130

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.7940-1.8000

The US dollar is ‎stronger this morning as it has had a quick recovery from its drop yesterday. The big driver behind the stronger USD was German industrial Production last month falling at its fastest pace since 2009, if the German economy falters so goes the rest of Europe. Sterling was able to make some small gains notably against the Euro as the UK manufacturing grew for the third month in a row, a clear sign of the divergence of the economies in Europe and the UK.

In interest rate news the Reserve  Bank of Australia left its key rate unchanged. Markets were a bit surprised as they were expecting a cut in interest rates, if the Aussie Dollar jumps in value over the next little while then you will see another round of interest rate cuts.

The Canadian Dollar gave back most of its gains from yesterday as the strong US Dollar overnight pushed USD.CAD higher. As long as this strong US Dollar trend remains intact I just can't envision the Loonie having any sustained bouts of strength, markets still favour US dollar sellers, US Dollar buyers need to be ready with their orders anytime the rate drops.

Up today we have only have the Canadian Building Permits report for August being released. This can be a quite volatile number so we may get a surprise but overall I don’t expect it to have too much effect on the currency, we should stay close to the expected range for today.

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.1172 1.1215
CAD/USD 0.8951 0.8916
EUR/USD 1.259 1.2551
EUR/CAD 1.4068 1.4079
STG/CAD 1.7943 1.7928
AUD/CAD 0.8779 0.9794
CAD/JPY 97.22 97.46
CAD/CHF 0.8603 0.8604
CAD/HKD 6.9179 6.8948
CAD/CNY 5.4945 5.4689
CAD/MXN 12.0467 11.9585
Commodities
Gold $1,204.00 $1,195.00
OIL $90.18 $90.28
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 85.74 86.8
OPEN 86.06 86.38
US 10YR YIELD 2.42% 2.43%

 

 


 

 

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