Thursday 15 August 2013

GFX Morning FX Commentary August 15th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0280-1.0370

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3700-1.3775

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.6080-1.6180

The US Dollar is marginally weaker this morning as positive data out of the UK has pushed both Sterling and Euro a little higher. In the UK the July Retail sales report surged to a gain of 1.1% beating economist expectations of a 0.6% rise. Recently we have seen a spate of positive date out of the UK and Europe so both of those currencies are slowly starting to make gains against the Greenback.

The Canadian Dollar is marginally stronger this morning but is off its highs from the overnight market. Nothing new to report on the Loonie, it continues to trade in narrow ranges with no real sense of direction at the moment, it is just reacting to any developments outside of Canada. I still favour a small move back towards 1.0400 before a move to 1.0250 but that can easily be derailed by any news hitting the market.

Up today we get a slew of economic data out of the US, the most important release being watched by the markets will be the July Inflation report, if the report shows that inflation is benign then the markets will not see any short-term reason for the US Federal Reserve to slow the taps on stimulus but if it shows that inflation is starting to rise then look for equities to get hit and the US Dollar to jump higher, either way we should have some enhanced volatility around the release.

Have a great day
Mike


GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0325 1.0339
CAD/USD 0.9695 0.9672
EUR/USD 1.3284 1.3245
EUR/CAD 1.3716 1.3645
STG/CAD 1.6087 1.6004
AUD/CAD 0.9457 0.9433
CAD/JPY 95.08 94.94
CAD/CHF 0.9057 0.9056
CAD/HKD 7.4899 7.4784
CAD/CNY 5.9177 5.9166
CAD/MXN 12.3687 12.3294
Commodities
Gold $1,335.00 $1,325.00
OIL $107.58 $106.13
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 81.76 81.79
OPEN 81.61 81.83
US 10YR YIELD 2.71% 2.72%
 

 

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