Tuesday 13 August 2013

GFX Morning FX Commentary

Good Morning,

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0280-1.0350

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.3700-1.3775

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.5920-1.6020

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning as overnight currency markets were once again dominated by the Japanese Yen. This morning a drop in machinery orders led to further action by the Prime Minister to announce that they are considering a corporate tax cut to try and stimulate the economy, a move which would create a bigger deficit for the country. Clearly stimulus measures to date are not having the desired effect on the Japanese economy, look for Yen moves to continue to dictate moves in the broader currency markets for some time yet.

In Europe the Euro continues to trade within tight ranges, this morning the German economy again reported better than expected numbers with the ZEW investor confidence report showing better than  expected numbers. All of these reports out of Germany take on added significance as the German elections are slated for September 22nd and if Merkel was to lose that election then I think you will see the Euro get hit hard. I have not seen any polls published as of yet but it is something to keep in mind.

The Canadian Dollar continues to give up some strength against the US Dollar as the poor economic numbers out of Canada continue to weigh on the Canadian Dollar. The Loonie may lose further ground today as the US Retail Sales report is expected to show an improving economic picture south of the border, it looks at the moment that the two economies are going in separate directions. If you are a US Dollar buyer over the short-term you will want to consider doing some forwards at these levels as protection against a move higher for USD.CAD

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0318 1.0306
CAD/USD 0.9642 0.9703
EUR/USD 1.3293 1.3295
EUR/CAD 1.3718 1.3704
STG/CAD 1.5943 1.5955
AUD/CAD 0.9426 0.9439
CAD/JPY 95.01 93.81
CAD/CHF 0.9003 0.8992
CAD/HKD 7.4953 7.5053
CAD/CNY 5.937 5.9369
CAD/MXN 12.3175 12.2747
Commodities
Gold $1,327.00 $1,325.00
OIL $106.47 $106.24
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 81.42 81.17
OPEN 81.61 81.43
US 10YR YIELD 2.64% 2.58%

 

 

 

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