Wednesday 28 August 2013

GFX Morning FX Commentary August 28th, 2013

Good Morning,

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar is 1.0475-1.0550

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro is 1.4000-1.4070

Today’s expected range for the Canadian Dollar against Sterling is 1.6220-1.6290

The US Dollar is marginally stronger this morning in quiet FX trading markets. Much the same as yesterday FX markets are focusing on the melt-down in emerging markets, this morning the Indian Rupee hit a 20 year low against the US Dollar, the Turkish Lira hit a record low and the South African Rand fell to its weakest level since 2009, it is a clear trend to move money out of emerging market countries and into more stable currencies like the Euro and US Dollar.

Sterling was also a bit lower as BOE Governor Carney will be talking about the economy today, it is expected that he will emphasis the need for low interest rate for some time to come, Sterling should continue to trade with a weak bias for the short-term.

The Canadian Dollar is a bit weaker from it close yesterday afternoon, it did stage a small rally yesterday as the price of oil seemed to give the commodity currencies a bit of a boost but it has been some time since the Loonie was strongly correlated to the price of oil, I would not look for big gains in the Loonie if Oil suddenly start to jump in price.

Up today we get some housing data out of the US so for the most part it should be a quiet day. Talks of Western military intervention in Syria will dominate the geo-political arena today, if there are clear signs of the West starting a bombing campaign then look for the US Dollar to rally as investors run to the safe haven of US treasury bills.

I will be out of the office today and Thursday but back in on Friday, there will not be  a commentary tomorrow morning, if you want to know anything that happened in the overnight market just drop Randy a note. rdavis@gfxpartners.ca

Have a great day
Mike

GFX Morning Currency Rates
Currencies 7:00am Today's Opening  Yesterday's Opening
USD/CAD 1.0497 1.0528
CAD/USD 0.9526 0.9498
EUR/USD 1.3352 1.3345
EUR/CAD 1.402 1.4054
STG/CAD 1.6242 1.6338
AUD/CAD 0.9366 0.9424
CAD/JPY 92.66 92.82
CAD/CHF 0.8757 0.8746
CAD/HKD 7.3814 7.3455
CAD/CNY 5.8261 5.8115
CAD/MXN 12.6972 12.6839
Commodities
Gold $1,424.00 $1,412.00
OIL $109.57 $106.90
US DOLLAR INDEX
P.CLOSE 81.18 81.42
OPEN 81.44 81.5
US 10YR YIELD 2.72% 2.80%

 

 

 

 

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